Safe Republican — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 17.2% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 14.5% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.6% | 68.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.2% | 14.9% |
| Black Protestant | 6.3% | 11.4% |
| Catholic | 2.3% | 4.2% |
| Other | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 44.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+50.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+43.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+29.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.0 |
1996: Perot 9.3% · 1992: Perot 25.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%