Safe Republican — shifted 16.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 14.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 77.8% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 5.1% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 10.3% | 51.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.2% | 26.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.7% | 18.4% |
| Other | 0.8% | 3.8% |
| Non-religious | 80.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+24.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+7.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+13.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+20.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+18.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+1.5 |
| 2000 | Gore+13.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+33.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+25.5 |
1996: Perot 6.2% · 1992: Perot 15.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%