Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 60.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 32.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 5.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.4% | 43.9% |
| Catholic | 14.5% | 38.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 17.2% |
| Non-religious | 62.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+44.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+33.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+26.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+5.9 |
1996: Perot 5.6% · 1992: Perot 18.4%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%