Safe Republican — shifted 6.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 40.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 51.1% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 6.5% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.2% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 40.6% | 48.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.0% | 36.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.3% | 12.4% |
| Other | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 16.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+54.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+48.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+30.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+42.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+36.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.9 |
1996: Perot 6.8% · 1992: Perot 18.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%