Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 16.3% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 5.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.1% | 70.6% |
| Catholic | 4.8% | 10.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.2% | 9.3% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.0% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 54.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+54.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+49.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+29.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.6 |
1996: Perot 10.6% · 1992: Perot 34.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%