Safe Republican — shifted 5.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 20.2% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 18.0% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 57.5% | 66.6% |
| Catholic | 13.3% | 15.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.6% | 7.7% |
| Black Protestant | 6.0% | 6.9% |
| Other | 3.0% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 13.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+42.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+36.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+40.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+40.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+21.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+18.5 |
1996: Perot 5.5% · 1992: Perot 20.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%