Safe Republican — shifted 7.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 56.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 25.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 11.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.3% | 60.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.2% | 25.3% |
| Other | 3.4% | 7.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.5% | 5.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.0% | 4.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 51.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+53.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+51.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+34.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+25.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.1 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%