Safe Republican — shifted 5.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 47.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 39.0% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 7.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.2% | 47.4% |
| Catholic | 10.3% | 30.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.3% | 9.6% |
| Other | 2.4% | 7.0% |
| Black Protestant | 2.0% | 5.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 4.2% |
| Non-religious | 65.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+29.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+24.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+31.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+35.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+30.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+46.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+43.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+25.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+18.4 |
1996: Perot 7.4% · 1992: Perot 24.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%