Safe Republican — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 60.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 14.8% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 20.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.2% | 71.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.4% | 9.4% |
| Catholic | 3.9% | 8.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 7.7% |
| Other | 1.6% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 53.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+50.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.5 |
1996: Perot 6.6% · 1992: Perot 19.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%