Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 23.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 5.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.0% | 60.1% |
| Catholic | 15.1% | 24.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.5% | 7.3% |
| Black Protestant | 3.2% | 5.2% |
| Other | 1.7% | 2.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 38.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+53.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+41.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+41.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+32.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.5 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%