Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 58.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 14.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 20.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.2% | 60.9% |
| Black Protestant | 9.0% | 15.6% |
| Catholic | 8.2% | 14.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 9.3% |
| Non-religious | 42.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+55.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+50.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+37.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+33.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+30.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+0.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.3 |
1996: Perot 7.9% · 1992: Perot 21.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%