Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 36 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 43.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 47.7% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 5.1% |
▶Asian(3) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.0% | 58.0% |
| Catholic | 15.9% | 28.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.3% | 5.9% |
| Other | 2.2% | 3.9% |
| Black Protestant | 1.8% | 3.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 44.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+62.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+55.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+50.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+46.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+47.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+41.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+12.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.8 |
1996: Perot 10.5% · 1992: Perot 18.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%