Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 56.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 33.4% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 6.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.0% | 45.6% |
| Catholic | 24.8% | 40.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 12.4% |
| Other | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 38.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+70.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+66.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+63.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+56.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+47.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+48.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+39.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+16.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+14.2 |
1996: Perot 6.7% · 1992: Perot 18.9%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%