Safe Republican — shifted 5.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 73.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 7.0% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 15.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 51.1% | 76.1% |
| Black Protestant | 5.7% | 8.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.7% | 7.0% |
| Catholic | 3.2% | 4.8% |
| Other | 2.5% | 3.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 32.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+61.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+59.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+48.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+14.8 |
1996: Perot 9.8% · 1992: Perot 21%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%