Safe Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 48.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 27.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 18.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.8% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 25.9% | 63.4% |
| Catholic | 6.8% | 16.6% |
| Black Protestant | 3.6% | 8.8% |
| Other | 2.5% | 6.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.1% | 5.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 3.0% |
| Non-religious | 59.1% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+27.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+35.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+40.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+34.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.4 |
1996: Perot 10.2% · 1992: Perot 31%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%