Kendall County, Texas: Professional Migration
Texas Β· Presidential Elections 1912β2024
R+55.4
2024 Margin
R+2.4%
2020β2024 Swing
R since 1936
Voting Streak
ποΈ Prof. Migration
Classification
44K
Population
Kendall County, Texas voted R+55.4 for Donald Trump in 2024, with Trump receiving 22,668 votes (77%). This represented a R+2.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1936.
Electoral Behavior
ποΈ
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
3.0
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
-0.6/yr
Quick Stats
2024 ResultR+55.4
2020β2024 SwingR+2.4%
Voting StreakR since 1936
Elections on Record29
Demographics
Population44,279
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
49.1%(US: 34.6%)
Median Income
$104,196(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
71.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
23.7%(US: 18.6%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.9%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
5.1%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
8.9%(US: 6.4%)
Non-English (CVAP)
10.7%(US: 17.1%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21.6%(6,355) | 77.0%(22,668) | R+55.4 | -2.4 |
| 2020 | 22.7%(6,020) | 75.7%(20,083) | R+53.0 | +6.4 |
| 2016 | 18.0%(3,643) | 77.4%(15,700) | R+59.4 | +5.0 |
| 2012 | 17.1%(3,043) | 81.6%(14,508) | R+64.5 | -8.5 |
| 2008 | 21.5%(3,599) | 77.5%(12,971) | R+56.0 | +7.3 |
| 2004 | 18.0%(2,532) | 81.3%(11,434) | R+63.3 | -1.1 |
| 2000 | 17.2%(1,901) | 79.4%(8,788) | R+62.2 | -18.4 |
| 1996 | 23.8%(2,092) | 67.7%(5,940) | R+43.8 | -5.9 |
| 1992 | 18.7%(1,374) | 56.6%(4,162) | R+37.9 | +15.7 |
| 1988 | 22.6%(1,446) | 76.2%(4,875) | R+53.6 | +12.1 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22.8%(6,666) | 75.4%(22,068) | R+52.6 | +5.2 |
| 2020 | 20.2%(5,335) | 78.0%(20,584) | R+57.8 | -2.5 |
| 2018 | 21.9%(4,340) | 77.3%(15,292) | R+55.3 | +15.9 |
| 2014 | 12.6%(1,477) | 83.8%(9,854) | R+71.3 | -7.8 |
| 2012 | 16.8%(2,952) | 80.3%(14,114) | R+63.5 | -5.5 |
| 2008 | 19.6%(3,224) | 77.6%(12,765) | R+58.0 | +1.0 |
| 2006 | 19.1%(1,932) | 78.2%(7,901) | R+59.0 | +2.4 |
| 2002 | 18.6%(1,596) | 80.0%(6,883) | R+61.4 | +10.6 |
| 2000 | 12.4%(1,359) | 84.5%(9,255) | R+72.1 | -20.1 |
| 1996 | 23.1%(2,014) | 75.0%(6,544) | R+52.0 | +4.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 19.9%(4,491) | 78.5%(17,684) | R+58.6 | +5.7 |
| 2018 | 17.1%(3,382) | 81.4%(16,076) | R+64.3 | +0.8 |
| 2014 | 16.8%(1,989) | 81.8%(9,713) | R+65.0 | -10.3 |
| 2010 | 21.0%(2,702) | 75.7%(9,744) | R+54.7 | -18.3 |
| 2006 | 13.0%(1,346) | 49.5%(5,120) | R+36.5 | +29.7 |
| 2002 | 15.8%(1,367) | 82.0%(7,074) | R+66.1 | +6.0 |
| 1998 | 13.6%(872) | 85.7%(5,485) | R+72.1 | -26.4 |
| 1994 | 26.8%(1,585) | 72.5%(4,294) | R+45.7 | -7.8 |
| 1990 | 28.4%(1,359) | 66.3%(3,177) | R+37.9 | +14.9 |
| 1986 | 22.9%(967) | 75.8%(3,194) | R+52.8 | -6.8 |