Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(8) | 70.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 26.5% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 1.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 1.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.4% | 49.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.8% | 26.0% |
| Catholic | 9.8% | 21.5% |
| Other | 1.5% | 3.4% |
| Non-religious | 54.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+77.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+74.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+76.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+76.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+62.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+63.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+59.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+24.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+20.0 |
1996: Perot 8.4% · 1992: Perot 21.9%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%