Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 57.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 33.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 4.9% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 47.6% | 63.2% |
| Catholic | 12.2% | 16.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 12.0% | 15.9% |
| Black Protestant | 3.6% | 4.8% |
| Non-religious | 24.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+68.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+62.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+60.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+54.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+45.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+18.4 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%