Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 71.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 9.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 12.1% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.7% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.0% | 70.6% |
| Catholic | 6.7% | 12.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 10.4% |
| Black Protestant | 1.8% | 3.4% |
| Other | 1.5% | 2.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 47.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+50.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+38.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.4 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.4 |
1996: Perot 8.7% · 1992: Perot 25.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%