Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 36.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 58.3% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 3.7% |
Asian | 0.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 40.3% | 53.5% |
| Catholic | 25.2% | 33.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.6% | 10.1% |
| Black Protestant | 1.2% | 1.6% |
| Other | 1.1% | 1.5% |
| Non-religious | 24.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+50.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+48.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+59.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+50.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+19.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+23.1 |
1996: Perot 6.2% · 1992: Perot 13%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%