Safe Republican — shifted 6.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 23.5% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 17.1% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.7% | 59.4% |
| Catholic | 9.8% | 15.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.2% | 14.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.3% | 6.5% |
| Other | 3.2% | 4.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 34.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+56.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+50.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+51.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+29.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.8 |
1996: Perot 10.4% · 1992: Perot 21.3%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%