Safe Republican — shifted 7.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 34 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 36.2% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 7.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.6% | 55.8% |
| Catholic | 12.7% | 24.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 10.6% |
| Other | 3.1% | 6.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.4% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 48.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+39.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+32.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+38.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+36.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+51.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+49.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+32.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+32.1 |
1996: Perot 5.4% · 1992: Perot 14%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%