Safe Republican — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 27.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 13.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.4% | 47.7% |
| Catholic | 19.8% | 34.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.4% | 9.5% |
| Other | 2.4% | 4.1% |
| Black Protestant | 2.3% | 4.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 42.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+30.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+23.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+26.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+29.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+23.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+29.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.7 |
1996: Perot 8.1% · 1992: Perot 22.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%