Safe Republican — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 52.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 26.2% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 15.5% |
▶Asian(2) | 1.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.3% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.6% | 53.6% |
| Catholic | 16.0% | 32.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.2% | 6.5% |
| Other | 2.7% | 5.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 3.1% |
| Black Protestant | 1.1% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 50.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+57.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+51.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+39.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+30.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+3.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.2 |
1996: Perot 8.7% · 1992: Perot 20%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%