Safe Republican — shifted 8.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 69.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 4.8% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 21.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.8% | 53.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.1% | 21.4% |
| Black Protestant | 6.4% | 15.2% |
| Catholic | 2.6% | 6.2% |
| Other | 1.4% | 3.4% |
| Non-religious | 57.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+43.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+42.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+21.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+4.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+21.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+21.3 |
1996: Perot 9.7% · 1992: Perot 20.6%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%