Safe Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 41.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 43.7% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 10.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 26.7% | 47.9% |
| Catholic | 20.6% | 36.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.6% | 8.2% |
| Other | 2.1% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.8% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 44.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+50.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+39.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+33.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+27.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+23.2 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.3 |
1996: Perot 9.5% · 1992: Perot 23.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%