Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 41.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 51.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 2.9% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.6% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 48.6% | 71.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 14.3% | 20.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.3% | 4.8% |
| Other | 2.3% | 3.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 31.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+42.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+39.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+39.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+40.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+35.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+17.6 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.7 |
1996: Perot 6.9% · 1992: Perot 20.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%