Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.3% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 46.0% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 7.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 2.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.6% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.6% | 54.6% |
| Catholic | 15.2% | 23.3% |
| Black Protestant | 7.8% | 11.9% |
| Other | 3.7% | 5.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.9% | 4.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.0% | 3.1% |
| Non-religious | 34.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+60.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+61.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+57.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+63.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+60.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+42.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+36.2 |
1996: Perot 5.6% · 1992: Perot 19.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%