Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(8) | 26.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 8.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.6% | 51.4% |
| Catholic | 17.4% | 29.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 12.3% |
| Black Protestant | 2.9% | 4.8% |
| Other | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| Non-religious | 40.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+57.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+51.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+49.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+34.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+26.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+21.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+15.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+11.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.1 |
1996: Perot 8.7% · 1992: Perot 20%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%