Safe Republican — shifted 7.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 57.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 21.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 16.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.8% | 55.1% |
| Catholic | 12.4% | 22.2% |
| Black Protestant | 6.7% | 11.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 6.3% |
| Other | 2.5% | 4.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.5% |
| Non-religious | 44.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+38.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+31.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+35.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+36.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+27.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+35.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.5 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%