Safe Republican — shifted 6.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 32.1% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 9.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.5% | 61.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.1% | 15.7% |
| Catholic | 4.5% | 10.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.2% | 9.2% |
| Other | 1.8% | 4.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 55.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+51.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+48.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+42.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+34.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+21.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.5 |
1996: Perot 9.1% · 1992: Perot 25.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%