Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 76.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 9.6% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 7.8% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.4% | 64.0% |
| Catholic | 12.7% | 21.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.0% | 5.2% |
| Other | 2.9% | 4.9% |
| Black Protestant | 2.5% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.1% | 3.6% |
| Non-religious | 41.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+63.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+61.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+54.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+47.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+27.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.0 |
| 1992 | Clinton+17.0 |
1996: Perot 9.7% · 1992: Perot 22.5%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%