Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 22.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 71.3% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 4.6% |
▶Asian(3) | 2.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.9% | 58.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 13.5% | 26.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.2% | 8.1% |
| Other | 3.9% | 7.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 48.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+39.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+21.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+22.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+25.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+43.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.3 |
1996: Perot 9.4% · 1992: Perot 19.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%