Safe Republican — shifted 5.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 42.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 39.3% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 10.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.7% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 49.3% | 63.5% |
| Catholic | 18.6% | 24.0% |
| Other | 4.0% | 5.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.7% | 4.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.7% | 2.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 1.5% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Non-religious | 22.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+38.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+44.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+39.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+47.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+40.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+21.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+14.3 |
1996: Perot 6.9% · 1992: Perot 16.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%