Safe Republican — shifted 5.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 72.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 7.5% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 16.3% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 4.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.8% | 72.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.9% | 16.6% |
| Catholic | 3.3% | 6.1% |
| Black Protestant | 1.3% | 2.4% |
| Other | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 46.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+53.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+40.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+38.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+23.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+16.8 |
1996: Perot 9.5% · 1992: Perot 21.7%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%