Safe Republican — shifted 11.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 22.2% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 17.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 30.2% | 45.3% |
| Catholic | 24.4% | 36.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 7.8% |
| Black Protestant | 3.9% | 5.9% |
| Other | 3.0% | 4.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.0% | 4.4% |
| Non-religious | 33.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+52.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+40.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+35.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+22.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.0 |
| 2000 | Gore+4.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+18.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+21.8 |
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%