Safe Republican — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 63.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 20.8% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 9.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 53.3% | 71.8% |
| Catholic | 12.5% | 16.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 7.0% |
| Other | 2.6% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.3% | 3.1% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 25.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+40.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+37.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+46.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+53.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+46.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+57.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+56.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+39.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+30.4 |
1996: Perot 8.8% · 1992: Perot 33.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%