Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 19.1% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 13.2% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 27.4% | 63.4% |
| Catholic | 6.3% | 14.6% |
| Black Protestant | 4.3% | 9.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 8.0% |
| Other | 1.8% | 4.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 56.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+59.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+55.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+56.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+51.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+46.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+46.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+40.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+15.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.1 |
1996: Perot 6.9% · 1992: Perot 21.6%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%