Safe Republican — shifted 7.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 56.5% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 1.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 38.1% | 60.8% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.6% | 25.0% |
| Other | 5.4% | 8.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.6% | 5.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 2.5% |
| Non-religious | 37.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+36.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+29.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+23.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+20.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+16.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+26.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+14.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+2.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.0 |
1996: Perot 6.4% · 1992: Perot 16.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%