Safe Republican — shifted 5.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 57.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 20.9% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 16.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 39.5% | 64.1% |
| Catholic | 9.6% | 15.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.3% | 8.7% |
| Black Protestant | 4.2% | 6.9% |
| Other | 2.9% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 38.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+45.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+39.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+43.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+45.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+39.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+45.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+44.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+25.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+17.4 |
1996: Perot 5.5% · 1992: Perot 23%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%