Safe Republican — shifted 4.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 25.1% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 8.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 45.8% | 73.0% |
| Catholic | 7.6% | 12.1% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.5% | 10.3% |
| Other | 2.1% | 3.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 37.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+49.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+45.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+53.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+45.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+55.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+49.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+26.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+22.5 |
1996: Perot 7.3% · 1992: Perot 22.7%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%