Safe Republican — shifted 8.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 31 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 37.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 56.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 3.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 38.2% | 64.3% |
| Catholic | 18.2% | 30.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 2.4% |
| Other | 0.9% | 1.6% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 40.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+65.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+50.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+41.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+35.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+59.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+44.5 |
| 1996 | Dole+20.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+19.3 |
1996: Perot 7.5% · 1992: Perot 14.1%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%