Safe Republican — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 37 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(12) | 40.6% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 3.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 33.7% | 56.0% |
| Catholic | 18.5% | 30.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.5% | 7.5% |
| Other | 2.5% | 4.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.5% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 1.6% |
| Non-religious | 39.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+48.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+44.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+47.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+41.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+51.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+44.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+19.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.7 |
1996: Perot 8.4% · 1992: Perot 27.9%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%