Safe Republican — shifted 3.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 76.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 8.4% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 10.7% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.5% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.3% | 80.3% |
| Other | 3.9% | 7.4% |
| Catholic | 3.4% | 6.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.9% | 5.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.6% | 5.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 47.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+73.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+70.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+67.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+55.4 |
| 2008 | McCain+44.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+7.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+15.1 |
1996: Perot 9.5% · 1992: Perot 20.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%