Safe Republican — shifted 13.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 25.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 70.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.3% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 1.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.6% | 43.1% |
| Catholic | 21.5% | 37.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.5% | 13.1% |
| Other | 2.9% | 5.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 42.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+33.4 |
| 2020 | Trump+20.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+10.8 |
| 2012 | Romney+8.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+5.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+21.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+16.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+1.3 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.8 |
1996: Perot 5.5% · 1992: Perot 16.2%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%