Safe Republican — shifted 8.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 21.8% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 20.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 28.1% | 53.0% |
| Catholic | 16.9% | 31.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.8% | 7.1% |
| Black Protestant | 2.4% | 4.6% |
| Other | 1.9% | 3.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.2% |
| Non-religious | 46.9% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+39.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+31.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+34.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+22.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+32.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+28.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+7.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.5 |
1996: Perot 8.1% · 1992: Perot 22.7%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%