Safe Republican — shifted 4.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 61.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 18.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 14.2% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.7% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 25.8% | 36.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.7% | 29.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 20.1% | 28.2% |
| Black Protestant | 2.6% | 3.6% |
| Other | 2.3% | 3.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 28.6% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+54.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+49.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+51.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+51.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+42.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+47.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+47.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+27.4 |
| 1992 | Bush+23.4 |
1996: Perot 5.8% · 1992: Perot 16%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%