Safe Republican — shifted 5.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 39.9% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 2.0% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 27.3% | 67.5% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.5% | 23.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.8% | 6.8% |
| Other | 0.9% | 2.4% |
| Non-religious | 59.5% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+53.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+48.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+47.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.0 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+40.3 |
| 2000 | Bush+30.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+9.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+0.6 |
1996: Perot 8.4% · 1992: Perot 21.9%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%