Safe Republican — shifted 4.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 30 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(10) | 31.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 62.5% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 3.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 2.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.6% | 68.8% |
| Catholic | 12.8% | 24.8% |
| Black Protestant | 1.9% | 3.7% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.8% |
| Non-religious | 48.2% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+70.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+65.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+52.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+52.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+51.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+60.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+44.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+6.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+8.6 |
1996: Perot 10.4% · 1992: Perot 21.5%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%