Chesterfield County, Virginia: Professional Migration
Virginia · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+8.9
2024 Margin
D+2.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
🏘️ Prof. Migration
Classification
365K
Population
Chesterfield County, Virginia voted D+8.9 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 112,869 votes (53.59%). This represented a D+2.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020.
Electoral Behavior
🏘️
Professional MigrationView all
Growing metro exurbs and suburbs receiving educated professionals from cities. These areas are shifting blue as remote work and urban flight bring liberal voters. Examples: Atlanta suburbs, DFW exurbs, Denver metro.
Volatility
7.2
Elasticity
Responsive
Trend
+1.2/yr (blue)
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+8.9
2020→2024 SwingD+2.3%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population364,548
Median Age
38.9(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
59.0%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$95,757(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
57.4%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
11.4%(US: 18.6%)
Black
22.8%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
3.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
77.3%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
6.8%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
9.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53.6%(112,869) | 44.6%(94,030) | D+8.9 | +2.3 |
| 2020 | 52.5%(106,935) | 45.8%(93,326) | D+6.7 | +8.9 |
| 2016 | 46.0%(81,074) | 48.2%(85,045) | R+2.3 | +5.5 |
| 2012 | 45.4%(77,694) | 53.2%(90,934) | R+7.7 | -0.3 |
| 2008 | 45.9%(74,310) | 53.3%(86,413) | R+7.5 | +18.2 |
| 2004 | 36.9%(49,346) | 62.6%(83,745) | R+25.7 | +2.5 |
| 2000 | 34.8%(38,638) | 63.0%(69,924) | R+28.2 | +0.1 |
| 1996 | 32.4%(30,220) | 60.7%(56,650) | R+28.3 | -0.3 |
| 1992 | 27.5%(28,028) | 55.5%(56,626) | R+28.1 | +23.3 |
| 1988 | 24.0%(18,723) | 75.3%(58,828) | R+51.4 | +8.5 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.3%(115,364) | 44.7%(93,336) | D+10.6 | +3.1 |
| 2020 | 53.7%(107,568) | 46.2%(92,658) | D+7.4 | -2.5 |
| 2018 | 54.0%(83,091) | 44.1%(67,835) | D+9.9 | +18.6 |
| 2014 | 44.0%(44,491) | 52.7%(53,306) | R+8.7 | -4.7 |
| 2012 | 47.9%(81,239) | 51.9%(88,142) | R+4.1 | -22.8 |
| 2008 | 58.8%(93,910) | 40.0%(63,950) | D+18.7 | +36.9 |
| 2006 | 40.3%(42,025) | 58.4%(60,987) | R+18.2 | +68.9 |
| 2002 | 0.0%(0) | 87.0%(51,052) | R+87.0 | -61.7 |
| 2000 | 37.3%(41,524) | 62.6%(69,712) | R+25.3 | -8.1 |
| 1996 | 41.3%(38,985) | 58.5%(55,200) | R+17.2 | +10.8 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58.9%(100,595) | 41.0%(70,021) | D+17.9 | +17.3 |
| 2017 | 49.7%(58,991) | 49.1%(58,297) | D+0.6 | +8.4 |
| 2013 | 40.8%(42,865) | 48.7%(51,114) | R+7.9 | +24.9 |
| 2009 | 33.6%(30,161) | 66.3%(59,558) | R+32.7 | -23.8 |
| 2005 | 44.7%(40,134) | 53.6%(48,112) | R+8.9 | +6.4 |
| 2001 | 42.0%(33,810) | 57.3%(46,160) | R+15.3 | +20.8 |
| 1997 | 31.1%(21,621) | 67.2%(46,779) | R+36.2 | +6.2 |
| 1993 | 28.4%(20,602) | 70.8%(51,317) | R+42.4 | -13.0 |
| 1989 | 35.2%(23,799) | 64.6%(43,656) | R+29.4 | -7.3 |
| 1985 | 38.9%(18,850) | 61.0%(29,540) | R+22.1 | +1.7 |